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Inside Selection Sunday: Mapnalysis '15

October 26, 2015

By Geoff Kimmerly
Second Half editor

Consider that one hour Sunday night was the product of nine weeks of games on top of two more weeks of practice, hours of lifting weights, conditioning and camps and a total of six months of work at the MHSAA office, in addition to hours upon hours put in by athletic directors scheduling years in advance.

The anticipation for the release of another year's MHSAA Football Playoff pairings is matched by a giant exhale only after the results are broadcast on Fox Sports Detroit, streamed online and posted on locker room doors and Facebook walls all over our state.

And then the fun begins again. 

But the Selection Sunday Show is the favorite hour of the season for many fans across our state. And that’s why, for the fifth year, we’ll explain our most difficult decisions in this Mapnalysis 2015 breakdown of how we paired 272 teams that will play next month for championships across nine divisions.

For those familiar with our playoff selection process, or who have read this report in the past and don’t want a refresher on how we do what we do, skip the next section and go directly to the “Observations & Answers: 2015.” For the rest, what follows is an explanation of how we selected the playoff pairings during the morning hours Sunday, followed by how we made some of the toughest decisions and a few thoughts on the breakdown of the field. 

Ground Rules

Our past: The MHSAA 11-player playoff structure – with 256 teams in eight divisions, and six wins equaling an automatic berth (or five wins for teams playing eight or fewer games) – debuted in 1999. An 8-player tournament was added in 2011, resulting in nine champions total each season.

The first playoffs were conducted in 1975 with four champions. Four more football classes were added in 1990 for a total of eight champions each fall. Through 1998, only 128 teams made the postseason, based on their playoff point averages within regions (four for each class) that were drawn before the beginning of the season. The drawing of Districts and Regionals after the end of the regular season did not begin until the most recent playoff expansion.

In early years of the current process, lines were drawn by hand. Dots representing qualifying schools were pasted on maps, one map for each division, and those maps were then covered by plastic sheets. Districts and Regionals literally were drawn with dry-erase markers.

Our present: After a late Saturday night tracking scores, we file in as the sun rises Sunday morning for a final round of gathering results we may still need (which can include making a few early a.m. calls to athletic directors). Re-checking and triple-checking of enrollments, what schools played in co-ops and opted to play as a higher class start a week in advance, and more numbers are crunched Sunday morning as the fields are set.

This season, there were a record-low 216 automatic qualifiers by win total – with the final 40 at-large then selected, by playoff-point average, one from each class in order (A, B, C, D) until the field was filled. There were only four Class D additional qualifiers with 5-4 or 4-4 (playing eight games) records from which we could choose – so after those four we added 12 teams each from Class A, Class B and Class C.

Those 256 11-player teams are then split into eight equal divisions based on enrollment, and their locations are marked on digital maps that are projected on wall-size screens and then discussed by nearly half of the MHSAA staff plus a representative from the Michigan High School Football Coaches Association. Only the locations themselves are marked (by yellow dots) – not records, playoff point averages or names of the schools or towns. In fact, mentions of those are strictly prohibited. Records and playoff points are not part of the criteria. Matchups, rivalries, previous playoff pairings, etc. also DO NOT come into play.

The same process is followed for organizing the 8-player bracket, with the difference that the 16 teams are selected purely on playoff-point average.

Geography rules: This long has been rule number one for drawing MHSAA brackets in any sport. Travel distance and ease DO come into play. Jumping on a major highway clearly is easier than driving across county-wide back roads, and that’s taken into consideration. Also, remember there’s only one Mackinac Bridge and hence only one way to cross between peninsulas – and boats are not considered a possible form of transportation. When opponents from both peninsulas will be in the same District, distance to the bridge is far more important than as the bird flies.

Tradition doesn’t reign: Every group of 32 dots is a new group – these 32 teams have not been placed in a bracket together before. How maps have been drawn in the past isn’t considered – it’s hard to say a division has been drawn in a certain way traditionally when this set of 32 teams is making up a division for the first time.

Observations & Answers: 2015  

Go north with ease: For the most part, most Regional pairings were easier to draw than in past years. For the most part. Divisions 2 and 4 were not easy, specifically when it came to deciding which teams would be paired with an Upper Peninsula qualifier or a team from the Traverse City area. Keep in mind, distance on these maps isn’t based on how the bird flies, but how a bus would drive. In Division 2, that meant putting Muskegon, Muskegon Mona Shores and Grand Rapids Forest Hills Northern – near U.S. 31 and U.S. 131 – with Traverse City Central instead of sending Midland and Midland Dow west, up I-75 and then east-to-west again on more non-highway roads. In Division 4, we considered pairing Alma and Saginaw Swan Valley with Escanaba instead of Big Rapids and Remus Chippewa Hills. That decision came down to Big Rapids being about 14 miles closer to Escanaba than Swan Valley (Whitehall would go with Big Rapids and Chippewa Hills regardless.).

Four counties wide: Yes, on first glance it looks a little odd that Bay City John Glenn and Orchard Lake St. Mary’s would be in the same Division 3 District – but look at the map as a whole. Eight Division 3 teams are located south and mostly east of St. Mary’s, and John Glenn is the only team that could be considered in the northeastern quarter of the Lower Peninsula (Mount Pleasant and Gaylord are right down the middle and naturals to go with Sault Ste. Marie and Petoskey.). With the thumb playoff qualifiers of near-similar size in Division 4, there were no other options than to create this four-county trip between the Eaglets and Bobcats.

Semifinal selection: When all the Regional lines are drawn for a division, we also must figure out which Regionals will meet for Semifinals. This annually provides some challenges. Do we match east vs. west or north vs. south? If something seems iffy in four weeks when those games are played, again, keep in mind the entire map and entire Regionals that are matched up.

Scheduled strong: Because we’re looking only at dots on a map, we don’t see the matchups until everything is drawn – and in that way, we’re like everyone else. It wasn’t lost on us that two 9-0 teams will have road games this week or three 5-4 at-large qualifiers will be at home. For those 9-0 teams, it’s true: there’s nothing more they could’ve done on the field. But here’s why they will travel.

  • Clinton, in Division 6, hasn’t lost a regular-season game since 2011, and in fact plays in a strong Tri-County Conference made up of Class C schools and one Class D. Four of eight from the league made the playoffs, and the competition was so strong that Morenci and Petersburg-Summerfield will host games in Division 8. But Clinton’s opponent, Monroe St. Mary Catholic Central, while it did have one loss, fell to one-loss Class B Lansing Catholic – and the Falcons played eight Class B and one Class A school this season. Beating a Class B team is worth 16 points more than beating a Class C and 32 more than beating a Class D (with those points then divided over the number of games a team plays that season) – and all of that made the difference in St. Mary’s final eight-point playoff average edge over Clinton.
  • Saugatuck in Division 7 is a similar story. The Indians are one of three undefeated teams in their District, and did play a pair of Class B opponents. But by no fault of their own, especially in league play where the schedule is set, Saugatuck didn’t face a team this season that won more than five games. Hesperia played three Class B opponents including one that finished 6-3 – enough for the slim 1.8 points more in playoff average that earned the Panthers homefield advantage. Pewamo-Westphalia has the highest average in the District and didn’t play a Class B – the Pirates actually played three Class D teams. But they also beat four teams that made the playoffs including two that finished 8-1 – giving them a 2.7-point edge on Hesperia and 4.5 edge on Saugatuck.
  • The 5-4 teams that will host – Redford Thurston in Division 3 and Escanaba and Benton Harbor in Division 4, all earned their spots. Escanaba faced six playoff teams and beat three, Class B Benton Harbor played eight Class A teams, and Thurston played five playoff teams and a sixth that just missed an at-large bid.  

At the end of the day ... 

What you see is what our committee decided upon after multiple discussions among multiple groups that broke down every sensible possibility we could muster. There are certainly points open to argument – and we likely made those arguments as well.

Those who would like to see the playoff selection process changed are in favor of a larger strength-of-schedule component, and it’s interesting to see how strength of schedule inadvertently made a larger impact this season than in the recent past – especially given the examples above of undefeated teams going on the road and at-large teams hosting.

Why were there fewer automatic qualifiers than ever before? Here's one theory. There were 11 fewer teams in 11-player football this season than in 2014 (most moved to 8-player). An argument can be made that there were fewer wins to be gained against teams that last season might have struggled to field 11-player teams, shifting the balance to fewer automatic qualifiers and more parity with stronger teams facing each other to fill their schedules.

Meanwhile, the 8-player field grew by nine teams this fall and has its strongest ever, with seven teams that finished 5-4 missing the postseason after a team with a sub-.500 record got in just a year ago.

Given how some matchups shook out this fall, the next argument by those seeking change likely will center on seeding entire Regionals instead of just Districts. But keep this in mind as well: if Regionals were seeded with this year's groupings, it would create possibilities of first-week trips like Battle Creek to Traverse City and Cedar Springs to Sault Ste. Marie. We're fairly sure most coaches and players would dread such journeys for a first-round game. 

It's a lot to digest, and the scrutinizing will surely continue long after these playoffs are done as we all work to conduct the best tournament possible. 

But at the end of the day – and the end of these next five weeks – to be the best, teams will need to beat the best no matter the matchups. And we’ve got plenty to look forward to starting this weekend and all the way through the 11-player Division 3 Final on Nov. 28 at Ford Field.

The MHSAA Football Playoffs are sponsored by the Michigan National Guard.

PHOTO: The Division 4 map was among the most difficult to draw during this year's selection process.

A Lansing Everett receiver pulls in a pass during the Vikings' Week 4 32-0 win over Lansing Waverly.

1st & Goal: 2025 Week 4 Review

By Geoff Kimmerly
MHSAA.com senior editor

September 22, 2025

The Week 4 football schedule gave us an idea of what was coming. But it's fair to say this weekend's statewide slate of games even exceeded expectations.

MI Student AidMetro Detroit matchups Detroit Catholic Central/Orchard Lake St. Mary's and Detroit Cass Tech/Martin Luther King were predictably notable. But we also saw our first league champion crowned, impressive winning streaks broken and another extended, and a pair of programs reach successes they haven't enjoyed in multiple decades. Saline's Tommy Carr threw eight touchdowns passes, and Holland receiver Finn Galloway scored a combined seven rushing and receiving. 

And that was just the start. 

Bay & Thumb

HEADLINER Cass City 17, Millington 14 (OT) Cass City has reached the playoffs 11 straight seasons and is a regular league title contender. But this still had to be unexpected given reigning Division 7 champion Millington’s 25-game regular-season winning streak and the Red Hawks’ 1-2 record entering the night. Cass City’s overtime field goal – and stifling defense – played lead roles in dealing the Cardinals (3-1) their first loss since a 2023 Division 7 Semifinal. Click for more from the Bay City Times.

Watch list Richmond 24, Armada 17 The Blue Devils (4-0) are back – and tied for the early lead in the Blue Water Area Conference after defeating Armada (3-1) for the first time since 2019 and after losing this matchup 42-0 a year ago. Dominic Bonnetti scored the go-ahead touchdown with 45 seconds to play.

On the move Clio 26, Owosso 21 After finishing 0-9 last year, Clio (4-0) has its most wins in a season since 2001. This one came against an Owosso team (3-1) that hadn’t lost entering the evening. Gladwin 28, Clare 26 The Flying Gs (1-3) earned their first win, but it definitely is one they won’t forget as they avenged last year’s loss to rival Clare (3-1). Linden 42, Holly 6 The Eagles (4-0) are off to their best start since 2012, and Holly (2-2) already has more wins than a year ago after avenging 2024 losses in Weeks 2 and 3.

Greater Detroit

HEADLINER Detroit Catholic Central 29, Orchard Lake St. Mary’s 14 The Shamrocks (4-0) have a notable lead atop the Catholic High School League Central with this win joining a Week 2 victory over Toledo Central Catholic to give DCC an impressive over the other expected main contenders this fall. Samson Gash starred, and the Shamrocks’ defense held OLSM (3-1) to 30 points fewer than the Eaglets’ season average. Click for more from the Oakland Press.

Watch list Detroit Cass Tech 27, Detroit Martin Luther King 22 These two have met a second time the last five seasons, and the first round this time went to the Technicians (4-0) as they held on after building an early lead on three CJ Sadler scores. King is 2-2 with two losses by a combined seven points.

On the move Ecorse 18, Warren Michigan Collegiate 16 The Red Raiders are (4-0) after winning four games all of last season, and this effort ended Michigan’s Collegiate’s 42-game Charter School Conference winning streak going back to 2016. Macomb Dakota 28, Sterling Heights Stevenson 14 Dakota (4-0) remains one of two teams tied atop the Macomb Area Conference Red standings after handing Stevenson (3-1) its first loss. Redford Union 8, Dearborn Heights Robichaud 0 Union (3-1) and its 32-game winning streak in the Western Wayne Athletic Conference turned away one of its toughest challenges during the streak, from a Robichaud team (3-1) seeking a third-straight playoff appearance this fall.

Mid-Michigan

HEADLINER Haslett 21, Mason 14 (OT) Add this to a one-point Week 2 win at Fenton decided during the final minute, and Haslett has claimed two key nail-biters with this avenging an overtime loss that decided the Capital Area Activities Conference Red title a year ago. Kory Amachree ran for the go-ahead score, and the Vikings (3-1) then closed out the win with an interception to send Mason to 1-3. Click for more from the Lansing State Journal.

Watch list Beal City 42, McBain 7 The Aggies (4-0) continued a defensively-dominating start by avenging last season’s 29-25 loss to McBain (2-2) that ended up deciding the Highland Conference title. Beal City has given up 17 points total over four games.

On the move Stockbridge 25, Union City 18 Although the Panthers (1-3) have had a rough start, this certainly could get things rolling as they ended Union City’s 21-game winning streak in the Big 8 Conference and handed the Chargers (3-1) their first loss overall this fall. Grand Ledge 30, Holt 24 The Comets (4-0) are shaping up as contenders again in the CAAC Blue with this their fourth-straight win over the rival Rams (2-2). Mount Pleasant 28, Traverse City Central 13 The Oilers (4-0) faced another tough challenge in the Saginaw Valley League North but held on for a key road victory at Central (2-2).

Lansing Catholic defenders close in on a Charlotte ball carrier during the Orioles’ 35-17 win.

Northern Lower Peninsula

HEADLINER Kingsley 38, Boyne City 6 The Stags (3-1) played arguably their best game this season in advance of this week’s matchup with Traverse City St. Francis. Those two and Boyne City (3-1) shared the Northern Michigan Football League Legends title a year ago, and Kingsley also with this win avenged last year’s District Final loss to the Ramblers. Click for more from the Traverse City Record-Eagle.

Watch list Gaylord 19, Petoskey 13 It’s difficult to not come back to the Blue Devils (4-0) who defeated the reigning Big North Conference champ Northmen (1-3) and did so with their fourth win this season by seven points or fewer.

On the move Maple City Glen Lake 24, East Jordan 22 Glen Lake (3-1) has opened NMFL Legacy play with three wins, while East Jordan (2-2) has lost two heartbreakers the last two weeks by a combined six points. Mancelona 32, Frankfort 6 The Ironmen (3-1) join Glen Lake as undefeated through the start of NMFL Legacy play, with this breaking a three-game losing streak against the Panthers (2-2). Ogemaw Heights 49, Shepherd 14 The Falcons (3-1) earned what could end up a key win in their repeat drive in the Jack Pine Conference I as Shepherd (3-1) was 3-0 for the first time since 2009 and hadn’t given up a point in its two games prior.

Southeast & Border

HEADLINER Saline 61, Dexter 34 Tommy Carr approached perfection, completing all but four passes and throwing for eight touchdowns – tied for second-most in MHSAA history for a single game – as the Hornets (4-0) scored their most points since Week 8 of 2023 and became one of only two teams still undefeated in Southeastern Conference Red play after dealing Dexter (3-1) its first. Click for more from the Ann Arbor News.

Watch list Monroe Jefferson 39, Riverview 8 We featured Jefferson (4-0) on MHSAA.com last week, and the Bears continued to generate excitement by breaking an eight-game losing streak against Riverview (2-2) and avenging last year’s 61-0 defeat.

On the move Vandercook Lake 17, Addison 16 The last six seasons have seen Vandercook Lake navigate 8-player, an abbreviated schedule and return to 11-player last fall, and the Jayhawks (3-1) with this win eclipsed last year’s total while also avenging a 44-7 loss from last season to Addison – which is 0-4 but with three defeats by a combined nine points. Michigan Center 43, Manchester 8 Michigan Center (4-0) has looked nothing short of powerful so far and opened Cascades Conference play by avenging a 46-35 loss from 2024. Chelsea 35, Tecumseh 6 Chelsea moved to 4-0 and extended its SEC White winning streak to 13 since Tecumseh (2-2) won their 2022 meeting.

Southwest Corridor

HEADLINER Paw Paw 35, Edwardsburg 7 Paw Paw’s first three opponents this season are a combined 12-0, and the Red Wolves (1-3) showed they belong in the conversation too by handing the Eddies (3-1) their first defeat. Ben Miller ran for 171 yards and four touchdowns and made 12 tackles.

Watch list Coloma 60, Saugatuck 42 The Comets didn’t have a team three years ago and had lost both meetings with Saugatuck (2-2) by an average of 35 points since returning. But Coloma is up to 2-2 after also finishing last season strong to make the playoffs.

On the move Dowagiac 41, Marshall 22 Dowagiac (3-1) has been building some nice momentum over the last three seasons and is off to another solid start as it seeks a second-straight playoff berth. White Pigeon 46, Centreville 0 The Chiefs (4-0) earned their third shutout this season as they extended their Southwest 10 Conference winning streak to 13 games going back to a loss to Centreville in 2022. Three Rivers 21, Plainwell 7 The Wildcats also are up to 4-0 overall with the other Wolverine Conference co-leaders Vicksburg and Niles up next over the next two weeks, respectively.

Upper Peninsula

HEADLINER Menominee 25, Calumet 15 The Maroons (4-0) earned the first of what may be three necessary key wins to lock up a Western Peninsula Athletic Conference Copper title after they finished second to Kingsford a year ago. The Copper Kings (3-1) will remain in the mix as well as both must still see the Flivvers and Calumet already has a win over Negaunee. Click for more from the Houghton Daily Mining Gazette.

Watch list L’Anse 46, Manistique 16 The Purple Hornets (4-0) have taken another step during an amazing start after the program had won once over its previous two seasons – a run that had included 44 and 37-point defeats against the Emeralds (1-3).

On the move Kingsford 35, Negaunee 21 This was another key matchup in the West-PAC Copper, which left the Flivvers (3-1) tied with Menominee for first. Houghton 46, Ishpeming Westwood 44 The Gremlins (2-2) have won four straight in this annual series with this their closest meeting since a three-point victory in 2022. Marquette 20, Saginaw United 12 Coming off a tough one-point loss to Gaylord, the Sentinels (2-2) made a trip downstate for the second week in a row and came back with what could be an important victory over a Division 2 opponent.

West Michigan

HEADLINER Grand Rapids Northview 35, Holland Christian 28 Northview had to defeat Holland Christian (3-1) last season to finish a perfect run through the Ottawa-Kent Conference Black, and this year the Wildcats (4-0) hope they’ve started another one. Northview went ahead late on the first night of league play.

Watch list Rockford 21, East Kentwood 14 The emerging Falcons (3-1) have given the O-K Red yet another power program, but the Rams (3-1) remain just a step ahead after holding on in this matchup.

On the move Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills 49, Cedar Springs 35 Kenowa Hills is 4-0 for the first time since 1992, according to Michigan-Football.com, after avenging last season’s seven-point loss to Cedar Springs. Grand Rapids Catholic Central 10, East Grand Rapids 7 The Cougars (4-0) opened O-K Black play by avenging last season’s three-point loss to EGR (2-2). Muskegon 46, Byron Center 17 Last season’s Week 8 loss helped end Muskegon’s playoff hopes, but the Big Reds (2-2) avenged in a big way as Byron Center (1-3) continued to navigate a loaded early schedule.

Ishpeming's Josh Wojie is able to break a couple of tackles and get past Munising’s MJ Bell for a touchdown during the Hematites 52-14 victory.

8-Player

HEADLINER Portland St. Patrick 48, Fulton 6 These two shared the Mid-State Activities Conference Red title with Morrice last season in part because of a Fulton win over the Shamrocks. But St. Patrick (4-0) has defeated both this season and already clinched the league championship. Click for more from WLNS.

Watch list Deckerville 33, Brown City 20 Reigning Division 1 champion Deckerville (4-0) has won 17 straight games and pulled away in this one after defeating Brown City (3-1) by just two points a year ago.

On the move Felch North Dickinson 62, Ontonagon 42 The Nordics (4-0) have scored 38, then 52, then 58 and now 62 points over the last four weeks as their offense is on pace to far surpass last year’s 425 over nine games. Martin 52, Gobles 6 While North Dickinson is scoring more and more points every game, Martin is giving up fewer and fewer and held the Tigers (3-1) to their fewest since the teams met to decide a Regional title in 2023. Bay City All Saints 49, Peck 12 All Saints (3-1) is a one-point Week 1 loss to Deckerville from a perfect start after handing Peck (3-1) its lone defeat.

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PHOTOS (Top) A Lansing Everett receiver pulls in a pass during the Vikings' Week 4 32-0 win over Lansing Waverly. (Middle) Lansing Catholic defenders close in on a Charlotte ball carrier during the Orioles’ 35-17 win. (Below) Ishpeming's Josh Wojie is able to break a couple of tackles and get past Munising’s MJ Bell for a touchdown during the Hematites' 52-14 victory. (Everett/Waverly photo by Larry Arreguin/Team Arreguin Photos. Lansing Catholic/Charlotte photo by Tom Pierson/TCP Photography. Ishpeming/Munising photo by Cara Kamps.)