Playoff Proposal Pauses
May 10, 2013
During the MHSAA Football Finals at Ford Field last November, I was approached by representatives of the Michigan High School Football Coaches Association with a request to have the MHSAA’s computing capabilities crunch the numbers for a concept that a couple of the coaches association’s members had for revising the MHSAA Football Playoff point system.
Within a few weeks the MHSAA hosted a meeting that brought together the coaches who introduced the concept with our numbers crunchers; and within a few days our staff had outlined the principles, revised the point system and retrofitted it to show how the system would have affected the 2012 playoffs.
There was initial excitement that we might be onto something, but that brief infatuation began to wane as we dug deeper and discussed the plan more widely.
The key ingredients of the proposal are (1) that a school would gain playoff points for every game its opponent wins, whether or not that school defeated that opponent, and (2) that the number of automatic qualifiers would be reduced in favor of a larger group of additional qualifiers based on a revised playoff points system that would favor schools which schedule larger and more successful opponents.
In spite of our staff’s helpfulness in bringing this proposal forward, we’ve lost optimism that it will accomplish what is hoped. Rather than making regular-season scheduling easier, it could make it harder as the “six-wins-and-in” mindset is replaced by the even worse “seven-wins-and-in” mindset. And any system that ignores a minimum number of wins and relies entirely on playoff points is even less fair than the current system to schools in the less densely populated areas of Michigan.
From our retrofitting of the proposed concept to the 2012 season, we know that teams with 6-3 records would be displaced in the playoffs by teams with 4-5 records, which is certain to go down badly and be difficult to explain to those communities. The revised point system would make it even more difficult than the current system for schools in less populated areas to find opponents of the size and strength to generate high playoff point averages without these schools driving 100, 200, 300 or more miles, one way, several times each season. For individual schools and some entire leagues, this will make football scheduling tougher, not easier. It is likely to add stress to those league affiliations, and to football scheduling generally.
In any event, there is no need to rush to 2013 or 2014 a proposal that’s called “Enhanced Strength of Schedule System” because schedules are 99 percent set for 2013 and nearly so for 2014. Even if adopted today, few schedules would be impacted before 2015. If a change like this one is to be implemented, schools must have ample notice, and our technology department must have enough time to program the new point system and then test it through an entire season.
The Representative Council acted wisely on May 6 when it paused the progress of this proposal. Some elements of it may be discussed at the MHSAA’s scheduled meetings this summer and fall.
Week 6 Football Playoff Listing
September 26, 2012
Here is a list of Michigan High School Athletic Association football playing schools, displaying their win-loss records and playoff averages through the fifth week of the season. Schools on this list are in enrollment order. An asterisk (*) beside a record indicates that a team has eight or fewer games scheduled. A carrot (^) beside a school’s name indicates that a team is one win away from playoff qualification.
Those schools with 11-player teams with six or more wins playing nine-game schedules, or five or more wins playing eight games or fewer, will qualify for the MHSAA Football Playoffs beginning Oct. 26-27. Schools with 5-4, 4-3 or 4-4 records may qualify if the number of potential qualifiers by win total does not reach the 256 mark. Schools with six or more wins playing nine-game schedules or five or more wins playing eight games or fewer may be subtracted from the field based on playoff average if the number of potential qualifiers exceeds the 256 mark.
Once the 256 qualifying schools are determined, they will be divided by enrollment groups into eight equal divisions of 32 schools, and then drawn into regions of eight teams each and districts of four teams each.
Those schools with 8-player teams will be ranked by playoff average at season’s end, and the top 16 programs will be drawn into regions of eight teams each for the playoff in that division, which also begins Oct. 26-27.
To review a list of all football playoff schools, individual school playoff point details and to report errors, visit the Football page of the MHSAA Website.
The announcement of the qualifiers and first-round pairings for both the 11 and 8-player playoffs will take place at 7 p.m. on Oct. 21 on the Selection Sunday Show on FOX Sports Detroit. The playoff qualifiers and pairings will be posted to the MHSAA Website following the Selection Sunday Show.
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11-Player Playoff Listing
|
1. |
Utica Eisenhower |
2772 |
3-2 |
62.000 |
|
2. |
Sterling Heights Stevenson |
2766 |
4-1 |
75.800 |
|
3. |
Clarkston ^ |
2721 |
5-0 |
94.400 |
|
4. |
Grand Blanc |
2644 |
3-2 |
57.600 |
|
5. |
Macomb Dakota |
2608 |
4-1 |
80.600 |
|
6. |
Lake Orion ^ |
2565 |
5-0 |
96.000 |
|
7. |
Rockford |
2526 |
3-2 |
57.400 |
|
8. |
Troy |
2502 |
3-2 |
57.400 |
|
9. |
Clinton Township Chippewa Valley |
2462 |
4-1 |
77.000 |
|
10. |
Dearborn Fordson |
2442 |
4-1 |
83.400 |
|
11. |
Holland West Ottawa |
2262 |
4-1 |
71.000 |
|
12. |
Northville |
2220 |
3-2 |
60.400 |
|
13. |
Detroit Cass Tech |
2200 |
4-1 |
77.400 |
|
14. |
Canton |
2166 |
3-2 |
51.200 |
|
15. |
Monroe ^ |
2154 |
5-0 |
83.200 |
|
16. |
Detroit Catholic Central |
2060 |
3-2 |
47.800 |
|
17. |
Plymouth |
2050 |
4-1 |
71.200 |
|
18. |
Salem |
2039 |
4-1 |
75.600 |
|
19. |
Livonia Stevenson |
2005 |
4-1 |
77.200 |
|
20. |
Holt |
1992 |
3-2 |
57.200 |
|
21. |
Hartland ^ |
1932 |
5-0 |
91.200 |
|
22. |
Warren Mott ^ |
1879 |
5-0 |
86.400 |
|
23. |
Livonia Churchill ^ |
1877 |
5-0 |
100.800 |
|
24. |
Walled Lake Central |
1857 |
3-2 |
52.200 |
|
25. |
Macomb L'Anse Creuse North |
1853 |
3-2 |
58.400 |
|
26. |
Saline |
1849 |
4-1 |
72.400 |
|
27. |
Grandville |
1846 |
3-2 |
53.600 |
|
28. |
Flint Carman-Ainsworth ^ |
1772 |
5-0 |
88.000 |
|
29. |
Grand Ledge |
1743 |
4-1 |
70.600 |
|
30. |
Rochester |
1725 |
4-1 |
72.800 |
|
31. |
Traverse City West |
1720 |
4-1 |
72.200 |
|
32. |
White Lake Lakeland |
1700 |
4-1 |
72.400 |
|
33. |
Harrison Township L'Anse Creuse |
1680 |
3-2 |