Inside Selection Sunday: Mapnalysis '15
October 26, 2015
By Geoff Kimmerly
Second Half editor
Consider that one hour Sunday night was the product of nine weeks of games on top of two more weeks of practice, hours of lifting weights, conditioning and camps and a total of six months of work at the MHSAA office, in addition to hours upon hours put in by athletic directors scheduling years in advance.
The anticipation for the release of another year's MHSAA Football Playoff pairings is matched by a giant exhale only after the results are broadcast on Fox Sports Detroit, streamed online and posted on locker room doors and Facebook walls all over our state.
And then the fun begins again.
But the Selection Sunday Show is the favorite hour of the season for many fans across our state. And that’s why, for the fifth year, we’ll explain our most difficult decisions in this Mapnalysis 2015 breakdown of how we paired 272 teams that will play next month for championships across nine divisions.
For those familiar with our playoff selection process, or who have read this report in the past and don’t want a refresher on how we do what we do, skip the next section and go directly to the “Observations & Answers: 2015.” For the rest, what follows is an explanation of how we selected the playoff pairings during the morning hours Sunday, followed by how we made some of the toughest decisions and a few thoughts on the breakdown of the field.
Ground Rules
Our past: The MHSAA 11-player playoff structure – with 256 teams in eight divisions, and six wins equaling an automatic berth (or five wins for teams playing eight or fewer games) – debuted in 1999. An 8-player tournament was added in 2011, resulting in nine champions total each season.
The first playoffs were conducted in 1975 with four champions. Four more football classes were added in 1990 for a total of eight champions each fall. Through 1998, only 128 teams made the postseason, based on their playoff point averages within regions (four for each class) that were drawn before the beginning of the season. The drawing of Districts and Regionals after the end of the regular season did not begin until the most recent playoff expansion.
In early years of the current process, lines were drawn by hand. Dots representing qualifying schools were pasted on maps, one map for each division, and those maps were then covered by plastic sheets. Districts and Regionals literally were drawn with dry-erase markers.
Our present: After a late Saturday night tracking scores, we file in as the sun rises Sunday morning for a final round of gathering results we may still need (which can include making a few early a.m. calls to athletic directors). Re-checking and triple-checking of enrollments, what schools played in co-ops and opted to play as a higher class start a week in advance, and more numbers are crunched Sunday morning as the fields are set.
This season, there were a record-low 216 automatic qualifiers by win total – with the final 40 at-large then selected, by playoff-point average, one from each class in order (A, B, C, D) until the field was filled. There were only four Class D additional qualifiers with 5-4 or 4-4 (playing eight games) records from which we could choose – so after those four we added 12 teams each from Class A, Class B and Class C.
Those 256 11-player teams are then split into eight equal divisions based on enrollment, and their locations are marked on digital maps that are projected on wall-size screens and then discussed by nearly half of the MHSAA staff plus a representative from the Michigan High School Football Coaches Association. Only the locations themselves are marked (by yellow dots) – not records, playoff point averages or names of the schools or towns. In fact, mentions of those are strictly prohibited. Records and playoff points are not part of the criteria. Matchups, rivalries, previous playoff pairings, etc. also DO NOT come into play.
The same process is followed for organizing the 8-player bracket, with the difference that the 16 teams are selected purely on playoff-point average.
Geography rules: This long has been rule number one for drawing MHSAA brackets in any sport. Travel distance and ease DO come into play. Jumping on a major highway clearly is easier than driving across county-wide back roads, and that’s taken into consideration. Also, remember there’s only one Mackinac Bridge and hence only one way to cross between peninsulas – and boats are not considered a possible form of transportation. When opponents from both peninsulas will be in the same District, distance to the bridge is far more important than as the bird flies.
Tradition doesn’t reign: Every group of 32 dots is a new group – these 32 teams have not been placed in a bracket together before. How maps have been drawn in the past isn’t considered – it’s hard to say a division has been drawn in a certain way traditionally when this set of 32 teams is making up a division for the first time.
Observations & Answers: 2015
Go north with ease: For the most part, most Regional pairings were easier to draw than in past years. For the most part. Divisions 2 and 4 were not easy, specifically when it came to deciding which teams would be paired with an Upper Peninsula qualifier or a team from the Traverse City area. Keep in mind, distance on these maps isn’t based on how the bird flies, but how a bus would drive. In Division 2, that meant putting Muskegon, Muskegon Mona Shores and Grand Rapids Forest Hills Northern – near U.S. 31 and U.S. 131 – with Traverse City Central instead of sending Midland and Midland Dow west, up I-75 and then east-to-west again on more non-highway roads. In Division 4, we considered pairing Alma and Saginaw Swan Valley with Escanaba instead of Big Rapids and Remus Chippewa Hills. That decision came down to Big Rapids being about 14 miles closer to Escanaba than Swan Valley (Whitehall would go with Big Rapids and Chippewa Hills regardless.).
Four counties wide: Yes, on first glance it looks a little odd that Bay City John Glenn and Orchard Lake St. Mary’s would be in the same Division 3 District – but look at the map as a whole. Eight Division 3 teams are located south and mostly east of St. Mary’s, and John Glenn is the only team that could be considered in the northeastern quarter of the Lower Peninsula (Mount Pleasant and Gaylord are right down the middle and naturals to go with Sault Ste. Marie and Petoskey.). With the thumb playoff qualifiers of near-similar size in Division 4, there were no other options than to create this four-county trip between the Eaglets and Bobcats.
Semifinal selection: When all the Regional lines are drawn for a division, we also must figure out which Regionals will meet for Semifinals. This annually provides some challenges. Do we match east vs. west or north vs. south? If something seems iffy in four weeks when those games are played, again, keep in mind the entire map and entire Regionals that are matched up.
Scheduled strong: Because we’re looking only at dots on a map, we don’t see the matchups until everything is drawn – and in that way, we’re like everyone else. It wasn’t lost on us that two 9-0 teams will have road games this week or three 5-4 at-large qualifiers will be at home. For those 9-0 teams, it’s true: there’s nothing more they could’ve done on the field. But here’s why they will travel.
- Clinton, in Division 6, hasn’t lost a regular-season game since 2011, and in fact plays in a strong Tri-County Conference made up of Class C schools and one Class D. Four of eight from the league made the playoffs, and the competition was so strong that Morenci and Petersburg-Summerfield will host games in Division 8. But Clinton’s opponent, Monroe St. Mary Catholic Central, while it did have one loss, fell to one-loss Class B Lansing Catholic – and the Falcons played eight Class B and one Class A school this season. Beating a Class B team is worth 16 points more than beating a Class C and 32 more than beating a Class D (with those points then divided over the number of games a team plays that season) – and all of that made the difference in St. Mary’s final eight-point playoff average edge over Clinton.
- Saugatuck in Division 7 is a similar story. The Indians are one of three undefeated teams in their District, and did play a pair of Class B opponents. But by no fault of their own, especially in league play where the schedule is set, Saugatuck didn’t face a team this season that won more than five games. Hesperia played three Class B opponents including one that finished 6-3 – enough for the slim 1.8 points more in playoff average that earned the Panthers homefield advantage. Pewamo-Westphalia has the highest average in the District and didn’t play a Class B – the Pirates actually played three Class D teams. But they also beat four teams that made the playoffs including two that finished 8-1 – giving them a 2.7-point edge on Hesperia and 4.5 edge on Saugatuck.
- The 5-4 teams that will host – Redford Thurston in Division 3 and Escanaba and Benton Harbor in Division 4, all earned their spots. Escanaba faced six playoff teams and beat three, Class B Benton Harbor played eight Class A teams, and Thurston played five playoff teams and a sixth that just missed an at-large bid.
At the end of the day ...
What you see is what our committee decided upon after multiple discussions among multiple groups that broke down every sensible possibility we could muster. There are certainly points open to argument – and we likely made those arguments as well.
Those who would like to see the playoff selection process changed are in favor of a larger strength-of-schedule component, and it’s interesting to see how strength of schedule inadvertently made a larger impact this season than in the recent past – especially given the examples above of undefeated teams going on the road and at-large teams hosting.
Why were there fewer automatic qualifiers than ever before? Here's one theory. There were 11 fewer teams in 11-player football this season than in 2014 (most moved to 8-player). An argument can be made that there were fewer wins to be gained against teams that last season might have struggled to field 11-player teams, shifting the balance to fewer automatic qualifiers and more parity with stronger teams facing each other to fill their schedules.
Meanwhile, the 8-player field grew by nine teams this fall and has its strongest ever, with seven teams that finished 5-4 missing the postseason after a team with a sub-.500 record got in just a year ago.
Given how some matchups shook out this fall, the next argument by those seeking change likely will center on seeding entire Regionals instead of just Districts. But keep this in mind as well: if Regionals were seeded with this year's groupings, it would create possibilities of first-week trips like Battle Creek to Traverse City and Cedar Springs to Sault Ste. Marie. We're fairly sure most coaches and players would dread such journeys for a first-round game.
It's a lot to digest, and the scrutinizing will surely continue long after these playoffs are done as we all work to conduct the best tournament possible.
But at the end of the day – and the end of these next five weeks – to be the best, teams will need to beat the best no matter the matchups. And we’ve got plenty to look forward to starting this weekend and all the way through the 11-player Division 3 Final on Nov. 28 at Ford Field.
The MHSAA Football Playoffs are sponsored by the Michigan National Guard.
PHOTO: The Division 4 map was among the most difficult to draw during this year's selection process.
1st & Goal: 2025 Week 5 Review
By
Geoff Kimmerly
MHSAA.com senior editor
September 29, 2025
Some weekends, it's easy to identify the game or few across the state that everyone will be talking about Monday morning.
Some weekends, we get to Friday night and still don't have one that necessarily sticks out – and then several emerge with an argument for being considered the most notable matchup.
Week 5 this season definitely resembled the latter. And often, those weekends are the most fun from a spectator's point of view. Of our "headliner" games below, six were decided by seven points or fewer and could end up deciding league championships.
And as always, there was much more to tell.
Bay & Thumb
HEADLINER Port Huron Northern 21, Port Huron 7 Northern (4-1) took a 7-0 lead into halftime but pulled away during the second and secured not only this win but first place alone in the Macomb Area Conference Blue with a chance to clinch a share of the league title this week at Fraser. Port Huron (3-2) is one of three teams a game back and hoping for help to get back into the championship mix. Click for more from the Port Huron Times Herald.
Watch list Elkton-Pigeon-Bay Port Laker 13, Central Montcalm 0 There were a handful of matchups across the state featuring undefeated teams facing off, and Laker won this one with its third shutout of the season, and against a Hornets team (4-1) that entered the weekend averaging 42 points per game.
On the move Grand Blanc 41, Lansing Everett 6 This also was a matchup of undefeated teams, with the Bobcats moving to 5-0 for the first time since 2021. Goodrich 65, Clio 14 The Martians moved to 5-0 and a win away from potentially clinching the Flint Metro League Stars title while sending Clio (4-1) into a tie for second with two others. Montrose 14, Ovid-Elsie 10 The Rams (5-0) avenged last season’s 42-7 loss to the Marauders (3-2) to move into first place alone in the Mid-Michigan Activities Conference.
Greater Detroit
HEADLINER Dearborn Divine Child 17, Jackson Lumen Christi 13 Divine Child (5-0) gave up its first points this season, but again scored more to continue its best start since 2017. The Falcons opened Catholic High School League AA play by avenging last season’s 35-0 loss to the reigning champion Titans (2-3). Click for more from the Detroit News.
Watch list South Lyon 24, Walled Lake Western 21 The Lions (5-0) took their resurgence this season up a level with their first win over reigning Lakes Valley Conference champion Western (3-2) since 2021.
On the move Clarkston 21, Rochester Adams 7 The Wolves (4-1) are tied for first with West Bloomfield halfway through the Oakland Activities Association Red slate after avenging regular-season and playoff losses last season to Adams (3-2). Farmington 42, Birmingham Seaholm 19 The Falcons (4-1) can clinch a share of the OAA Blue title this week after avenging last season’s loss to the Maples (4-1). Redford Thurston 12, Redford Union 6 Thurston put an end to Union’s 35-game winning streak in the Western Wayne Athletic Conference and after having been shut out by the rival Panthers the last three seasons by a combined score of 63-0. Both are 3-2 overall but among four teams now tied for first in the league. Melvindale Academy for Business & Tech 32, Detroit Community 6 ABT (5-0) won a matchup of undefeated teams to move into first alone in the Charter School Conference Silver.
Mid-Michigan
HEADLINER Brighton 21, Northville 14 Brighton (4-1) sits in the top spot alone in the Kensington Lakes Activities Association West thanks to turning away another tough challenge from Northville (4-1) after also emerging with a one-point win in the teams’ 2024 meeting. Brighton also has handed a first league loss to Hartland, with Week 8 opponent Howell the third team tied for second place. Click for more from the Livingston Daily Press & Argus.
Watch list Pewamo-Westphalia 49, Bark River-Harris 0 A potential open date for both was salvaged with a meeting in Gaylord instead, and the Pirates (5-0) added one of their most impressive victories with a third shutout this fall to go with 12 points surrendered overall. The loss was Bark-River Harris’ first.
On the move Williamston 43, St. Johns 0 The Hornets (5-0) posted their third-straight shutout as they set up this week’s matchup at Haslett with a share of the Capital Area Activities Conference Red title on the line. St. Johns (4-1) remains just a game back. Lansing Sexton 34, Charlotte 18 Four of Sexton’s first five opponents have winning records, and this victory by the J-Dubbs (2-3) was Charlotte’s first in CAAC White play. Stockbridge 32, Reading 20 With a second-straight Big 8 Conference victory, the Panthers (2-3) suddenly have created some league title possibilities with leader Springport next up.
Northern Lower Peninsula
HEADLINER Traverse City St. Francis 21, Kingsley 20 This literally came down to inches as St. Francis stopped Kingsley (3-2) short on what would have been a go-ahead two-point conversion during the closing minutes. St. Francis (5-0) can finish its Northern Michigan Football Conference Leaders schedule undefeated this week against Boyne City, which joins Kingsley a game back in the standings. Click for more from the Traverse City Record-Eagle.
Watch list Traverse City West 27, Midland 21 (OT) The Titans (3-2) have navigated a pair of losses to top teams, and perhaps that paid off as they handed Midland (4-1) its only loss.
On the move Elk Rapids 15, Mancelona 14 Elk Rapids (2-3) has played a tough schedule and with undefeated Charlevoix up next. This win over Mancelona (3-2) was significant enough to jump the Elks six spots on the Division 6 playoff-points list. Ogemaw Heights 41, Clare 7 With a third-straight win over a possible contender, Ogemaw Heights (4-1) held on to the top spot alone in the Jack Pine Conference Division 1. East Jordan 34, Mount Pleasant Sacred Heart 12 The Red Devils (3-2) ended a two-game skid as they readied to jump back into NMFL Legacy play this week.
Southeast & Border
HEADLINER Michigan Center 36, Leslie 32 The Cardinals (5-0) remain undefeated overall and midway through the Cascades Conference East schedule thanks to winning their first close game this fall with a notable comeback. Leslie (4-1) led 20-8 at halftime before Michigan Center surged ahead and then held off a late Leslie charge. Click for more from the Jackson Citizen Patriot.
Watch list Adrian 3, Ypsilanti Lincoln 0 The Maples (4-1) equaled last season’s win total by handing Lincoln (4-1) its lone defeat thanks to Zach Hassan’s field goal during the closing seconds.
On the move Dexter 42, Chelsea 28 In one of the most power-packed matchups in the state, Dexter (4-1) bounced back from its Week 4 loss to hand Chelsea (4-1) its first this fall. Monroe Jefferson 44, Flat Rock 22 Jefferson (5-0) remains tied with Monroe St. Mary Catholic Central atop the Huron League standings after breaking a seven-game losing streak against the Rams (3-2). Hudson 56, Adrian Madison 7 Midway through the Lenawee County Athletic Association schedule, Hudson (5-0) is tied with Clinton for first, as Madison (3-2) has fallen to both but remains a solid 26th on the Division 6 playoff-points list thanks to bonus points earned during both defeats.
Southwest Corridor
HEADLINER Buchanan 16, Berrien Springs 13 The Bucks (4-1) took a serious step toward claiming a first Lakeland Conference title since 2022, edging two-time reigning champion Berrien Springs (3-1). Next up for Buchanan is reigning Division 7 champion Millington before a Week 7 matchup with Dowagiac that will decide the Lakeland title outright for one or both teams, depending on how Dowagiac does this week against the Shamrocks. Click for more from the Niles Daily Star.
Watch list Coldwater 28, Parma Western 21 The Cardinals (4-1) are seeking their first playoff berth this decade and picked up what could end up a significant win toward earning that postseason invite – Coldwater’s first victory over Western (1-4) since 2019.
On the move Battle Creek Harper Creek 37, Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills 15 The Beavers’ quick break in the Interstate 8 Athletic Conference schedule put them up against undefeated Kenowa Hills (4-1), and Harper Creek (4-1) avenged a 34-30 loss from a year ago. Vicksburg 28, Three Rivers 24 The Bulldogs (4-1) came up big in their toughest Wolverine Conference game yet, avenging last year’s 14-11 loss by handing Three Rivers (4-1) its first defeat. Union City 38, Quincy 14 The Chargers (4-1) bounced back quickly from a Week 4 loss to hand Quincy (4-1) its first this fall.
Upper Peninsula
HEADLINIER Kingsford 17, Calumet 15 The Western Peninsula Athletic Conference Copper race continued to sort itself out as Kingsford moved into a first-place tie with Menominee and Calumet joined three other teams tied for third. The Flivvers capped this win with a go-ahead field goal during the final minute. Click for more from the Iron Mountain Daily News.
Watch list Iron Mountain 30, L’Anse 26 This was easily the closest game these two have played against each other since becoming annual foes in 2018, and the win was especially significant for the Mountaineers (4-1) as they prepare for a rematch with Bark River-Harris in two weeks – while L’Anse (4-1) sees BR-H on Friday.
On the move Gladstone 59, Ishpeming Westwood 22 Gladstone (2-3) has found its stride offensively with two straight games reaching 50 points as the team surpassed last year’s win total before the end of September. Escanaba 42, Cheboygan 13 Escanaba (5-0) equaled last season’s win total in advance of this week’s matchup with rival Marquette. Marquette 48, Sault Ste. Marie 6 The Sentinels also set up for this week’s showdown with a big win including their most points scored in a game this season.
West Michigan
HEADLINER Big Rapids 40, Reed City 13 Big Rapids is 5-0 for the first time since 2009 and ran its Central State Activities Association winning streak to 17 with a third-straight victory over Reed City, having started this league run after falling to the Coyotes in 2022. The Cardinals can clinch a share of the CSAA Red title this week against Remus Chippewa Hills. Click for more from the Big Rapids Pioneer.
Watch list Rockford 28, Grandville 0 The Rams’ Week 1 loss to still-undefeated Saline is looks better every Friday, and Rockford has responded to that defeat by reducing the number of points it has given up for four weeks straight. The Rams have handed lone Ottawa-Kent Conference Red losses to East Kentwood and now Grandville (3-2), all great news heading into Friday’s showdown with undefeated Hudsonville.
On the move East Grand Rapids 10, Grand Rapids Northview 3 The O-K Black is going to be an interesting follow over the next three weeks as East Grand Rapids (3-2) handed Northview (4-1) its first loss to create a four-team tie for second behind Grand Rapids Catholic Central. Grand Rapids Catholic Central 10, Middleville Thornapple Kellogg 0 The Cougars (5-0) remain atop their league after a close win over a Trojans team (3-2) that already has equaled its win total from last year. Byron Center 42, Muskegon Mona Shores 35 (OT) After a tough start facing a loaded first-half schedule, Byron Center (2-3) might be on the verge of a nice run back to the playoffs and potentially shook up the O-K Green with this victory over the Sailors (3-2).
8-Player
HEADLINER Norway 44, Pickford 6 Pickford’s wins over the Knights had come by 45, 18 and 22 over the last two seasons (including once in the playoffs), but Norway (5-0) avenged in a big way with arguably its most impressive win this fall and over the last three playoff seasons. Pickford (4-1) had given up only 14 points total over its first four games.
Watch list Grand Rapids Sacred Heart 33, Gobles 14 Sacred Heart is a combined 14-1 over the last two seasons, but defeating a program of Gobles’ caliber adds more serious punch to an already impressive run.
On the move Onekama 30, Bay City All Saints 24 The Portagers (5-0) have defeated four teams with winning records, including All Saints (3-2), on the way to being tied for first on the Division 2 playoff-points list. Indian River Inland Lakes 49, Hillman 14 In handing Hillman (4-1) its first loss, Inland Lakes (5-0) kicked off a run that will send it against three more teams with winning records (at this point) to finish the regular season. Kingston 48, Brown City 20 The Cardinals (5-0) moved closer to a potential Week 7 showdown with rival Deckerville to decide the Big Thumb Conference Blue title.
MHSAA.com's weekly “1st & Goal” previews and reviews are powered by MI Student Aid, a division within the Department of Lifelong Education, Advancement, and Potential (MiLEAP). MI Student Aid encourages students to pursue postsecondary education by providing access to student financial resources and information. MI Student Aid administers the state’s scholarship and grant programs that help make college Accessible, Affordable and Attainable for you. Click to connect with MI Student Aid and find more information on Facebook and Twitter @mistudentaid.
PHOTOS Davison defenders pursue a Saginaw United ball carrier during the Cardinals' 49-8 win Friday. (Middle) A Holt ball carrier works to get outside during the Rams' 42-14 win over Okemos. (Below) Ishpeming Westwood's Ethan Marta and Gladstone's Trevor Thorbahn jump up for a ball intended for Thorbahn, but Marta is able to hit it away. (Davison/Saginaw United photo by Terry Lyons. Holt/Okemos photo by John Johnson. Westwood/Gladstone photo by Cara Kamps.)